My take on the American culture war as it stands
Over the 2010s the left side of that stuff expanded their base to the maximum size achievable (and then started to reverse and fracture a little)
And using that they might have set trends but didn’t really plant their flag in and institutionally solidify any gains past Obergefell v. Hodges, which it should go without saying is entirely compatible with Andrew Sullivan 90s Thought
Meanwhile they have been a sufficient known annoyance for long enough that institutional antibodies and society-wide reactive-repressive forces have developed in response
With the liberals peeling away from the left in the Biden era any further escalation of the intensity of the conflict likely constricts their coalition further and unlocks far more in the way of (repressive) options for the counter-coalition
The subjection of the cultural left could productively traded in exchange for other adjustments in the construction and legitimizing of a new order; the subjection of the cultural right would only be a stabilizing force on the far side of a great deal of radical restructuring