Do you have a rough sense of the probability of the final collapse of the US in the next several decades? I fear that it will break up or, worse, turn non-democratic and one-party in the next 20 years.
The longer you study the US, the more you realize that we’re nowhere near a “final collapse.” Not even close.
In the early-to-mid 19th century, members of congress were very literally shooting each other in duels and beating each other on the floor of Congress. This was followed by a literal civil war that killed more than 2% of the country. During the Great Depression, unemployment reached 23%. 1968 saw mass rioting and a rapid string of assassinations that killed some of the country’s most famous political leaders. All of this was more destabilizing than anything happening today, and none of it led to the country collapsing.
I’d give the US at least another 100 years, at a minimum. A period of continued democratic backsliding is much more likely.
The US was basically one-party from the 1930s into the 1960s, that was in fact the impetus for the formation of the “conservative movement” that since built to dominance.
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