{"version": "1.0", "type": "rich", "title": "China\u2019s Tests Are No Sputnik Moment", "author_name": "kontextmaschine", "author_url": "https://kontextmaschine.com", "provider_name": "kontextmaschine", "provider_url": "https://kontextmaschine.com", "url": "https://kontextmaschine.com/post/665693979760820224/", "html": "<a href=\"https://carnegieendowment.org/2021/10/21/china-s-tests-are-no-sputnik-moment-pub-85625\">China\u2019s Tests Are No Sputnik Moment</a>\n<p><a href=\"https://collapsedsquid.tumblr.com/post/665693305441517568/chinas-tests-are-no-sputnik-moment\" class=\"tumblr_blog\" target=\"_blank\">collapsedsquid</a>:</p>\n\n<blockquote><blockquote><p>\nBoth interpretations of the test are plausible, though not equally \ncredible. I suspect that, as reported, China is following the <a href=\"https://static1.squarespace.com/static/5ef8124031cfcf448b11db32/t/5f1c4647c77c4c27acda0b3a/1595688526845/Siddiqi+FOBS+A+Short+Technical+History+2000.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">Soviet Union\u2019s</a>\n lead in developing a so-called fractional orbital bombardment system. \nBut I can\u2019t rule out the possibility that China is developing a space \nplane, like the United States\u2019 <a href=\"https://www.af.mil/About-Us/Fact-Sheets/Display/Article/104539/x-37b-orbital-test-vehicle/\" target=\"_blank\">X-37B</a>.\n Because tests of space planes and some orbital weapons could be \nindistinguishable, determining China\u2019s intentions is difficult. In fact,\n it is even possible that China tested a technology demonstrator with \nmultiple potential applications. <br/></p></blockquote><p>Listened to Jeffrey Lewis and he repatedly made the point that if you load a nuke in a space shuttle it\u2019s a hypersonic FOBS, gotta wonder if there are any plans to to stick a nuke in a X-37b.<br/></p></blockquote>\n\n\n<p>This was explicitly part of the appeal of the Shuttle program (also, and perhaps more politically palatable, it could orbit-insert surveillance satellites in ways not as limited and predictable as direct ballistic launch from known sites). This is why on (non-classified) missions it orbited with its bay open and visible to Soviet monitoring on the ground, like displaying your open hands</p>"}