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What next for the urban uprising? Historical precedents

  • French Revolution - deposes national government, several waves of terror, co-opted by messianic figure who suppresses unrest with anti-personnel artillery into crusading empire, remakes much of advanced world, ultimately defeated, the heirs of the pre-uprising elites restore the old regime but it’s never the same
  • June Rebellion of 1832 (the Les Mis one) - heartwarming unity, suppressed by military force
  • 1848 Revolutions - suppressed by military force one by one, some advances in bourgeois nationalism, extensive systems of secret police and political crime established to suppress future repeats
  • Paris Commune - formed under foreign siege, not applicable
  • Russian Revolution of 1905 - after initial attempts at suppression catalyze more unrest, Tsar makes concessions to liberals, managing to split them from radicals. Remnants suppressed with military force but return in 1917.
  • Russian Revolution of 1917 - after defeating war-weakened central government and resisting expeditionary forces from foreign states, eventually forms Leninist government
  • Spartacist Uprising - radicals transition to armed insurrection with partial buy-in from more moderate leftists. Undermanned government suppresses them by loosing private rightist veterans’ militias
  • post-war Italy - country held together in very loose federalism with drastic variation in local political climate from hard-right to hard-left, socialists, communists, anarchists, and fascists all maintain organizations, power bases, autonomist zones, and parties. National electoral system is rigged to maintain function as a client state of foreign power anyway. System lubricated by occasional political and state terrorism, extensive corruption, and organized crime.

Tagged: history