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What are Trump's chances in Washington/Oregon vs Cruz and Kaisich?

Anonymous asked: What are Trump's chances in Washington/Oregon vs Cruz and Kaisich?

SE Oregon is part of the Great Mormon Desert so that’ll go Cruz, the old timber towns in the SW where they don’t even have money to pay cops will go Trump.

In the dryland farms of the east and the verdant ones of the Willamette the tension will be between a planter elite that depends on illegal immigration and a cracker base that resents it, but who knows how that plays out - I don’t know the local culture enough to say how much appeal Cruz has. Probably he does better in the east, they’re more anti-government sagebrushy.

The retirees of the coast SHOULD prefer defender-of-benefits Trump but who knows.

Lake Oswego will go Kasich, the rest of Clackamas Trump. Trump in Gresham and East Portland. Cruz might have a chance in the western suburbs over the hills.

I don’t know how to weigh that all in all. Oregon’s honestly a pretty Trumpy place, ranging from people who buy American to people who try to buy within a two-county radius, but part of that is left-laborism is still a thing, there was no push effect from minorities, and a lot of “natural Trumpites” are still Democrats.

Washington fuck knows, I only know Seattle and Seattle doesn’t elect Republicans.

Tagged: election 2016